Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
108 Belmont 100.0%   14   25 - 7 15 - 3 25 - 7 15 - 3 +4.4      +2.8 98 +1.6 126 73.5 66 +4.7 106 +3.7 2
130 Murray St. 0.0%   21 - 9 15 - 3 21 - 9 15 - 3 +2.4      +0.2 174 +2.3 104 70.0 144 +1.0 153 +4.1 1
172 Austin Peay 0.0%   19 - 12 14 - 4 19 - 12 14 - 4 -0.1      +2.7 103 -2.8 264 67.9 206 +0.4 165 +2.2 3
238 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 15 9 - 9 -4.2      -2.6 244 -1.7 223 70.4 135 -5.8 259 -6.8 6
262 Tennessee St. 0.0%   16 - 15 9 - 9 16 - 15 9 - 9 -5.9      -4.1 278 -1.8 229 71.1 114 -3.7 226 -5.4 5
273 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   14 - 17 12 - 6 14 - 17 12 - 6 -6.3      -4.3 285 -1.9 236 82.5 5 -5.0 242 -1.4 4
277 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 10 11 - 19 8 - 10 -6.5      -4.6 295 -1.9 234 68.6 187 -9.6 317 -8.2 7
316 Morehead St. 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 11 - 19 7 - 11 -9.2      -5.2 305 -4.0 292 67.1 233 -9.1 311 -9.1 8
325 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 12 7 - 22 6 - 12 -10.9      -6.4 326 -4.5 305 66.5 245 -11.0 326 -10.6 9
330 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   6 - 23 5 - 13 6 - 23 5 - 13 -11.5      -6.6 332 -4.9 311 70.4 136 -13.9 335 -12.3 11
333 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   7 - 20 5 - 13 7 - 20 5 - 13 -11.8      +1.8 131 -13.5 352 70.0 143 -10.6 323 -12.0 10
340 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   5 - 24 3 - 15 5 - 24 3 - 15 -12.4      -5.4 313 -7.0 331 67.6 220 -14.5 342 -15.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Belmont 1.0 100.0
Murray St. 1.0 100.0
Austin Peay 3.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 5.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 5.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 4.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 7.0 100.0
Morehead St. 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 9.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 10.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 10.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Belmont 15 - 3 100.0
Murray St. 15 - 3 100.0
Austin Peay 14 - 4 100.0
Eastern Illinois 9 - 9 100.0
Tennessee St. 9 - 9 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 12 - 6 100.0
Jacksonville St. 8 - 10 100.0
Morehead St. 7 - 11 100.0
Tennessee Tech 6 - 12 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 5 - 13 100.0
Tennessee Martin 5 - 13 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Belmont 100.0% 100.0
Murray St. 100.0% 100.0
Austin Peay
Eastern Illinois
Tennessee St.
Eastern Kentucky
Jacksonville St.
Morehead St.
Tennessee Tech
SIU Edwardsville
Tennessee Martin
Southeast Missouri St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Belmont 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.0 16.7 59.9 22.3 0.1
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Belmont 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.5% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.5% 0.1 85.5 14.5
Sweet Sixteen 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0